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Post by FabienA380 on Jan 24, 2015 5:22:31 GMT 1
I think I've probably come to tend think like mjoelnir, who was suggesting that both forthcoming MSNs MSN191 and MSN201 could be considered in-sequence..... That might be the most simple solution that would be convenient to all of us?... On the same model then, I think all MSNs following one already convoyed would be considered 'in-sequence'... Thoughts?
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Post by a380limey on Jan 26, 2015 19:05:35 GMT 1
After reflecting on the above two responses, I think that I agree with the suggestion by mjoelni in that both MSN 191 & 201 could be considered as in sequence. So I propose that we go with the following. 1 point for wrong MSN 3 points for right MSN in sequence and both MSN 191 & 201 would be considered in sequence 7 points for right MSN out of sequence
It would certainly liven things up as we would be required to really put our thinking caps on as there are several factors to consider, especially now that there is a large gap between Emirates MSNs 190 & 200, followed by a large group of Emirates MSNs.
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Post by FabienA380 on Nov 14, 2015 21:51:18 GMT 1
It's come to my attention from a dear member (many thanks again!!) that, unfortunately, although I always put ultra-concentration and some dose of positive energy in counting the right-bets' and associated points this year, there's been several mistakes in the countings throughout the year...... This leads me think that unfortunately not too many members read those pts-summaries..... Also, the situation of the production now wouldn't much allow us indeed to vote for anything else than Emirates, and I've noticed members/voters are getting somewhat wearied voting.... I'd propose thence for now to stop the bets-counting, but of course we could still post and discuss about the forthcoming MSN(s) throughout the convoys.... Any thoughts or ideas?....
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Baroque
in service - 2 years
Posts: 3,991
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Post by Baroque on Nov 15, 2015 0:21:45 GMT 1
Any thoughts or ideas?.... I'm working on a new betting game on the sidelines and might have a trial run in the coming weeks before the turn of the year. If it is good, we could have a small "Fun and games" section under Out of Topic...
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Post by a380limey on Nov 15, 2015 0:23:51 GMT 1
Well Fabien I for one have kept a close eye on the points and voting, but I have not checked whether you were right or wrong, I just accepted that as a given, that you were correct.
Although as many have said that it will tend to be somewhat boring by continuing, I would like to continue. Even though Emirates are going to take 21 or 22 in 2016, there are still 5 or 6 or more other MSNs due in 2016 and you can bet that they will not be bunched together but spread through out the year. So you can bet that there will be some surprises, especially when they decide to put the two delayed Qatar frames back into the build and fit out sequences.
Hope that others will reflect on my input.
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Post by stealthmanbob on Nov 15, 2015 0:43:21 GMT 1
Any thoughts or ideas?.... I'm working on a new betting game on the sidelines and might have a trial run in the coming weeks before the turn of the year. If it is good, we could have a small "Fun and games" section under Out of Topic... What's the game ? Give us a clue ?
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Post by FabienA380 on Nov 15, 2015 1:20:18 GMT 1
The thing would also be for this year, don't really know if I want to redive into the whole year recounting points (though I know where the mistakes are, thanks to our dear member).....
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philidor
in service - 6 years
Posts: 8,950
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Post by philidor on Nov 15, 2015 10:32:01 GMT 1
One very simple way to keep the guess game going would be to give one point only to non-EK guesses.
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s543
in service - 2 years
Posts: 3,957
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Post by s543 on Nov 15, 2015 22:25:36 GMT 1
I was the one being - as I see it still one year later - correctly against the changes introduced this year.
More explanation. As we can observe the result is about the same, but the new system represents probably an order of magnitude more time for Fabien.
My suggestion is continue with the bets but old style - we might have some interesting surprises and still have some fun - it is much LESS work for Fabien provided he is still ready to do it.
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philidor
in service - 6 years
Posts: 8,950
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Post by philidor on Nov 16, 2015 0:44:20 GMT 1
My suggestion is continue with the bets but old style As EK is taking 21 frames next year, the old rule would force everybody trying to win to vote for EK all the time - the odds of winning with EK would be around 21/28 (0,75), while all other airlines would share the remaining 7/28 (0,25). Any non-EK bet would reach at best 0,07 to 0,10.
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