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Post by peter on Nov 9, 2014 0:03:26 GMT 1
We would be expecting MSN 192 and MSN 194 to be convoyed around February 2015 within a month of each other. They should be ready for delivery well before December 2015. Am I missing something? Yes, the guessing game on the next convoy is going to be fun again
At this time it looks like msn's 189, 193, 194, 195 and a few more are expected to be delivered later than msn 205.
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Nov 9, 2014 12:03:15 GMT 1
We would be expecting MSN 192 and MSN 194 to be convoyed around February 2015 within a month of each other. They should be ready for delivery well before December 2015. Am I missing something? We have seen that A380s convoyed before the end of April can be delivered before the end of the year. The last BA A380 took 8 months between convoy and delivery, so April 2015 is a possibility too.
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mjoelnir
in service - 2 years
Posts: 4,089
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Post by mjoelnir on Nov 9, 2014 14:02:12 GMT 1
We would be expecting MSN 192 and MSN 194 to be convoyed around February 2015 within a month of each other. They should be ready for delivery well before December 2015. Am I missing something? We have seen that A380s convoyed before the end of April can be delivered before the end of the year. The last BA A380 took 8 months between convoy and delivery, so April 2015 is a possibility too. MSN 173 BA #9 is in outfitting as it is, delivery IMO early in 2015. MSN 192 BA #10 would be the second BA A380 for 2015, delivery date has been moved from 1Q 2016 to 4Q 2015. With MSN 194 BA #11 scheduled for 2016, it does not need to be convoyed April 2015 or earlier.
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Nov 9, 2014 15:03:04 GMT 1
What I meant is MSN 192 BA #10 will be convoyed no later than April 2015.
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Nov 10, 2014 21:38:03 GMT 1
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Post by FabienA380 on Nov 10, 2014 22:44:06 GMT 1
Thanks XWB! I think that's a little weird though... So far excluding EK frames for 2015 I have LH: 2: MSN175 MSN177 BA: 2: MSN173 MSN192 OZ: 2: MSN179 MSN183 QR: 1 or 2: MSN181/MSN189 EY: 4: MSN170 MSN176 MSN180 MSN191 UN: 1: MSN196 totalling only 12 sure... If we add 11 for Emirates that would only be a total of 23 deliveries for 2015....
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Nov 10, 2014 22:52:59 GMT 1
We are not seeing a reduced convoy rate. Maybe that number is just a forecast, I think we should read it as 'at least 68 by the end of 2015'.
With the absence of MSN 167 and 185 there should be 28 or 29 deliveries in 2015.
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Post by addasih on Nov 10, 2014 22:57:16 GMT 1
Maybe 11 is for the fiscal year
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Post by peter on Nov 10, 2014 22:58:08 GMT 1
And if it is a "definite" 68, the number of deliveries to EK in 2016 will also have to be corrected. I count 21 deliveries in one year with the shift from 2015 to 2016 for msn's 201-205.
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Nov 10, 2014 23:05:38 GMT 1
Maybe 11 is for the fiscal year Ding ding, we have a winner. That sounds logical.
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