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Post by addasih on Sept 25, 2013 17:31:07 GMT 1
Addasih - Just fixed the spelling - but it reposted the entry. Thanks I think you used the quote button instead of the Edit Button (Edit Button is to the right of Quote Button)
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Post by vlafollower on Sept 27, 2013 16:25:54 GMT 1
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Post by stairdancer on Sept 27, 2013 22:20:58 GMT 1
1. Netorders are not meaningful. 2. The 747-orders in the list includes the old 744 and cargo....
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danteg
Final Assembly Line stage 1
Posts: 292
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Post by danteg on Sept 28, 2013 4:23:27 GMT 1
The sales of VLA can only get stronger based on two airports in particular that already have many A380 flights, e.g. Sydney and London Heathrow. Over the last 20 years I've been living in Australia there has been the debate over the building of a second Sydney airport due to capacity constraints at the existing one thanks to NIMBYs (not in my backyard people) and the resulting night curfew. The new Federal government has said will make a decision on a new airport in it's first term, i.e. within the next 3 years, but not holding my breath as the Federal government way back in 1983 went even further and said a new airport would be in operation within 10 years (1993) and we're still waiting. Air travel in Australia has continued to increase with Sydney remaining the main aviation hub in the region and no prospect of new slots becoming available for the foreseeable future the only way forward is to use larger aircraft. A similar situation is happening with London Heathrow as it desperately needs a third or even fourth runway but their NIMBYs have even managed to get their national government to come out and say they will not allow a another runway to be built. There are other London airports but Heathrow will always be the one the main airlines want to use so there too A380s are going to continue to replace the smaller capacity twin jets to meet continued growth in passenger numbers. I guess the real growth in demand will be the Chinese market as the population gets wealthier they will fly more. In their market I can see A380s being used on domestic routes during peak times. To sum up I strongly believe the A380 has a promising future as it will play an essential role in moving ever increasing numbers of passengers between the major global hubs.
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Post by vlafollower on Oct 14, 2013 19:22:16 GMT 1
Mr. Tom Enders still upbeat about future sales of the A380 in Bloomberg Article "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-10-14/airbus-sees-a380-demand-recovering-after-wing-issues-hurt-sales.html."
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Post by vlafollower on Oct 14, 2013 21:32:07 GMT 1
Quote from the above Bloomberg article describes the wide disparity in expected demand for this niche VLA market "Airbus said last month there was demand for 1,334 A380-sized passenger aircraft in the next two decades. Boeing Co. (BA) sees a need for only 760 units and has slowed output for the rival 747-8 jumbo jet amid slow sales." Only time will decide which OEM is more prescient in their forecasting abilities. At least the A380 is capturing @ 90% of current sales for this niche market.
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Post by vlafollower on Oct 15, 2013 15:31:40 GMT 1
Truly hope the optimism of Airbus is predictive "www.businessweek.com/news/2013-10-14/airbus-sees-a380-demand-recovering-after-wing-issues-hurt-sales". Copied this from the Wing Safety Issues Topic. Thought it deserved a post here also. At least the leasing order is in the bag this year. Maybe Mr. Leahy will pull "a few more rabbits out of the hat" before years end.
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Post by airboche on Oct 15, 2013 16:34:15 GMT 1
I wonder when China will order A380s big time? If you see that country everything says "big" and "mass travel".
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Post by vlafollower on Oct 17, 2013 2:05:49 GMT 1
Airboche - Who knows? The Airbus forecast is too vague and lumps all twin aisle widebodies together in one meatball for Asia! Looked to me like. But we all long for the A380 and it's longterm commercial success. At least Mr. Enders and Mr. Leahy are singing from the same "hymn book". It still bugs me that Airbus and Boeing paint such different outcomes for this market over the next 20 years.
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Post by vlafollower on Oct 21, 2013 18:31:56 GMT 1
Some very negative comments about the A380's commercial future at the end of this article: "http://www.aviationweek.com/Article.aspx?id=/article-xml/AW_10_14_2013_p34-624614.xml.
Naysayers prevail in this Aviation Week article.
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