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Post by FabienA380 on Aug 21, 2013 11:05:18 GMT 1
Yes indeed most likely, unless for which ever reason MSN115 happens now,... Fabien
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Post by FabienA380 on Aug 29, 2013 21:47:57 GMT 1
Congratulations to another delivery...! seems quite a long time since last delivery...can they reach the target this year..? MSN133 is already in its 20th week since arrival at XFW, I might not roll out before the 22nd week (lately reported unpainted and still in OF...)... The last 12 EK frames do have an average of 7 weeks (+0.25.........) between XFW-roll out and delivery, the shortest time being 4 weeks with only 2 frames (MSN110 and MSN112), with an average of 20 weeks to roll out for EK frames for MSN134 MSN135 MSN136 MSN138 MSN139 and MSN140 (all needing wing repairs), MSN134 might roll out 1st week of October, delivery might occur around second half of Novembre (?) MSN135 might roll out 1st half of October, delivery might occur around end of Novembre (?) MSN136 might roll out 2nd half of October, delivery around might occur 1st half of December (?) MSN138 might roll out by mid-Novembre, delivery around might occur very end of December (?) ... MSN139 might roll out last week of Novembre (only 4 weeks until end of the year), delivery maybe around.......1st half of January....... I guess it might still be deliverable by the very end of December if times after OF are reduced,... MSN140 might roll out 1st week of Decembre (only 3 weeks until end of the year), delivery maybe around.......2nd half of January...... very hard for a 2013 delivery. We were wondering about MSN141 being delivered in 2013 in lieu of MSN140 (that would in return be delivered in January?), but MSN141 is still sitting on the FL at TLS waiting for taxi tests. IF FF+transfer to HFW happens during the 2nd week of Septembre (assuming that MSN141 overtakes MSN137 which I doubt), roll out might occur within 12 weeks (best time for EK frames) (MSN141 will not need wing repairs), leading to 1st week of Decembre, leaving only 3 weeks until end of the year. It seems to me that FF would more occur 3rd week or even last week of Septembre (anyways after MSN137's), drastically reducing the number of weeks between roll out and delivery (before year-end) to 2 weeks. To me MSN141 has no chance anymore to be delivered in December. So to answer your question K, to me the target of 25 frames this year can be doable but will be very hard to maintain, mainly because of MSN140. My bet for this year would be 24. Though, without speculations and calculations, here the current update: September 2013MSN115 - AF9 MSN121 - BA2 MSN127 - EK37 October 2013MSN124 - BA3 MSN128 - KE8 MSN131 - TG5 MSN133 - EK38 Novembre 2013MSN125 - TG6 MSN134 - EK MSN135 - EK (?) Decembre 2013MSN136 - EK (?) MSN138 - EK MSN139 - EK MSN140 - EK With at least 4 EK frames (maybe more? 5?) delivered in the same month, that would be a record for Emirates as the more they have taken delivery of so far in one month, is 3 and did occur twice already. We'll see. Fabien
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K
spotted unpainted on the Flight Line (waiting for painting)
Posts: 1,130
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Post by K on Aug 30, 2013 2:48:41 GMT 1
Thanks for your detailed update...!!
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philidor
in service - 6 years
Posts: 8,950
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Post by philidor on Aug 30, 2013 13:19:25 GMT 1
Thank you, Fabien ! Every year, December comes with a lot of suspense ...
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Sept 10, 2013 16:18:53 GMT 1
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Post by FabienA380 on Sept 25, 2013 18:44:13 GMT 1
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philidor
in service - 6 years
Posts: 8,950
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Post by philidor on Sept 26, 2013 9:44:14 GMT 1
It could be that Clark expects MSN 140 to be delayed for wing-fix ... or that he got the wrong numbers ! If he is right, then Airbus will deliver 24 A380s this year instead of 25.
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Post by alfamale on Sept 28, 2013 17:24:45 GMT 1
7 more EK deliveries this year is confirmed, none in October, 4 in November, 3 in December. The order of delivery is a little out of sequence. Here's what I have at the moment:
November: MSNs 136/133/134/138, in that order, which will be A6-EEO/EEL/EEM/EEP respectively. December: MSNs 135/139/140, in that order, which will be A6-EEN/EER/EES.
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XWB
in service - 11 years
Posts: 16,115
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Post by XWB on Sept 28, 2013 18:09:39 GMT 1
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Post by alfamale on Sept 28, 2013 19:41:44 GMT 1
I've realized that some of the registration details I have been given are out of sequence with the MSNs. MSNs 139/140/141 would logically be A6-EEQ/EER/EES, but I'm told they will actually be EER/EES/EEQ. Was one of these convoyed out of sequence?
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